TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Gotham and Angel City FC. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or whether the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Gotham vs Angel City FC professional NWSL soccer match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s guidelines. The markets operate independently of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have 'skin in the game' and are incentivized to make informed decisions. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and initial expectations surrounding the Gotham vs Angel City FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current market reflects the aggregated wisdom of those actively trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Gotham vs Angel City FC match, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, might impact the market. Major upsets in other related matches, or even general changes in public perception of team performance, could also contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market.