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Gornik Zabrze vs. Legia Warszawa
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Gornik Zabrze vs. Legia Warszawa?

Volume:
$217,258

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88,869
N/A
N/A
$55,526
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Gornik Zabrze vs. Legia Warszawa)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Legia Warszawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,808
N/A
N/A
$25,885
Settled
No
polymarket

Legia Warszawa

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gornik Zabrze

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,418
N/A
N/A
$30,889
Settled
No
polymarket

Gornik Zabrze

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa scheduled for October 30, 2026. Markets exist for Gornik Zabrze winning, Legia Warszawa winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have consistent fallback procedures for data availability and game status (postponement/cancellation).Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Ekstraklasa.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, or sooner if official statistics are readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: Gornik Zabrze win, Legia Warszawa win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the regular-time result, with no consideration given to post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a house edge. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, and potentially, more accurate probabilities. While both aim to reflect the likelihood of an event, the motivations and information sources differ, resulting in potentially divergent odds.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Gornik Zabrze vs. Legia Warszawa match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which all influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing opinions and information available to traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the probability of each outcome. Market-specific dynamics, such as large individual trades or promotional activities, can also contribute to temporary price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi.