TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:58 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-29 00:00 UTC: If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-29 00:00 UTC: If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – who will win the Warriors-Timberwolves game – and can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time probability assessment for the Warriors-Timberwolves game.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Warriors-Timberwolves game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will then determine which outcome – a Warriors win or a Timberwolves win – was correctly predicted by the highest-priced contracts at the time of resolution. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 29, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either the Warriors or the Timberwolves would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major news regarding team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades by influential traders on Opinion can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities for the Warriors-Timberwolves game.