TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:03 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC: If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC: If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team is undervalued by sportsbooks, the odds in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered, as this market reacts to information and analysis independently of sportsbook adjustments.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a constantly updated assessment of the likely result of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Golden State Warriors versus Los Angeles Lakers game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team, and 0% for the losing team. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Warriors or the Lakers would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Major coaching changes, unexpected lineup adjustments, or even significant changes in player form could also impact the market. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role, as can late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move this market.