TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the second half of the Golden State Valkyries versus Las Vegas Aces WNBA game will be over or under 78.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: 2H O/U 78.5” resolving as true. The resolution source for this market is the official WNBA website, https://www.wnba.com/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for October 9 at 9:30PM ET, as the outcome of that contest will determine whether the total second-half points exceed the threshold.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 9 at 9:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each team.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the WNBA championship series, determining which team—Golden State Valkyries or Las Vegas Aces—wins the title. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will be paid out according to their share ownership at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key athletes on either the Golden State Valkyries or the Las Vegas Aces would undoubtedly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even off-court controversies could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team dynamics, such as trades or significant roster changes, would likely cause movement. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the WNBA championship have the potential to move this market.