TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces
polymarket

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces?

Volume:
$2,019,252

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces

 - Polymarket

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 12:31 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,744,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 156.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H O/U 78.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 78.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 1.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stephanie Talbot: Rebounds O/U 3.5

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jewell Loyd: Points O/U 7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Moneyline

0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stephanie Talbot: Points O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4Q Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabby Williams: Points O/U 19.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 27.5

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jewell Loyd: Points O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Intro

This market tracks whether the total points scored in the second half of the Golden State Valkyries versus Las Vegas Aces WNBA game will be over or under 78.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: 2H O/U 78.5” resolving as true. The resolution source for this market is the official WNBA website, https://www.wnba.com/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for October 9 at 9:30PM ET, as the outcome of that contest will determine whether the total second-half points exceed the threshold.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 9 at 9:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparison.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each team.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the WNBA championship series, determining which team—Golden State Valkyries or Las Vegas Aces—wins the title. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will be paid out according to their share ownership at the time of resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key athletes on either the Golden State Valkyries or the Las Vegas Aces would undoubtedly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even off-court controversies could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team dynamics, such as trades or significant roster changes, would likely cause movement. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the WNBA championship have the potential to move this market.