TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market concerns the identity of the next permanent head coach of the Golden State Warriors basketball team. The market will resolve affirmatively if any of a specific slate of candidates is hired for the position, covering a range of potential coaching candidates from the NBA and college basketball.
The market resolves based on the permanent head coach of the Golden State Pro Basketball Team before October 20, 2026. If no new permanent head coach is selected by that date, the 'Steve Kerr / No new coach' market resolves to Yes, indicating the current coach remains in place.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the next head coach of the Warriors. The current volume of $272,236 indicates significant engagement from traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official announcement of the Golden State Warriors’ next head coach. The platform will verify this information against widely available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the new head coach will receive a payout based on the final contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any official news regarding potential candidates, such as interviews or reported offers, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major coaching hires by other teams could also shift the landscape, as it might make certain candidates more or less available. Public statements from team executives or players, or even leaks from inside the organization, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments, like a candidate withdrawing from consideration, would also be a key catalyst for movement in this market.