TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

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40,345

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4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Golden State Opening Game Starters
kalshi

Who will be in the Golden State opening game starters?

Volume:
$24,489

Stephen Curry

 - Kalshi

Stephen Curry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 1:42 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stephen Curry

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,137
N/A
N/A
$3,348
Settled
Yes
kalshi

De'Anthony Melton

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Draymond Green

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Moses Moody

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,087
N/A
N/A
$3,846
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Horford

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,320
N/A
N/A
$2,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Kristaps Porziņģis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,187
N/A
N/A
$2,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandin Podziemski

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,221
N/A
N/A
$2,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Bassey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Jimmy Butler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets track whether specific players will be in the starting lineup for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season. Each market focuses on a different player, resolving based on their actual starting status at the opening tip-off, regardless of subsequent team changes.

Kalshi

The official rules for these markets dictate that a market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified player actually starts the Golden State Pro Basketball team's first regular season game of the 2026-27 season and is on the floor at the opening tip-off. Announcements of a player as a starter that do not materialize—due to injury or any other reason—result in a 'No' resolution. Importantly, resolutions are based strictly on the starting status for that specific game and are unaffected by any subsequent player actions, such as retirement, trade, or signing with another team prior to the game. Each market operates independently, focusing solely on the named player's starting role in that opening game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Warriors opening night starters market tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $5,920. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment leading up to the season opener, showing how the probability of each potential starting lineup evolves. This view isolates activity strictly on Kalshi, reflecting how its community prices this market.

Analyst forecasts often highlight different factors than the trading activity in this market. While experts may weigh player health and historical stats, traders on Kalshi are reacting to real-time developments and sentiment shifts. This creates moments where market odds diverge from traditional projections, reflecting the crowd-sourced nature of predictive trading. The gap between these views can widen before key announcements or narrow as the season opener approaches, depending on how new information reshapes expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the official game-night roster and any last-minute changes that affect the confirmed starting five. The market settles based on who takes the court for Golden State’s first game, reflecting real-world events rather than projections or speculation.

Injuries, coaching decisions, and trade developments closest to the opener can shift this market quickly. If a key player is ruled out or returns unexpectedly, odds will react within hours. Media reports, practice participation updates, and even fan sentiment tracked through social channels may create volatility. Traders should monitor official team announcements and any surprise lineups that emerge in the days leading up to Oct 31, 2026.