TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Golden Knights vs. Jets
Volume:
$868,411
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the Vegas Golden Knights will face the Winnipeg Jets in an NHL matchup. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes on three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner, (2) total goals scored (Over/Under at multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin of victory (spread outcomes at ±1.5 and ±2.5 goals). Resolution hinges on the final official NHL score, including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on spread/margin outcomes (win-by thresholds), while Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner and total goals scored. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution dimensions for the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on margin of victory (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins). On Polymarket, you are betting on either the outright winner or combined goal totals. These are independent dimensions — a Golden Knights moneyline win on Polymarket does not settle any Kalshi market unless the margin meets the threshold. Ensure your position aligns with which dimension you intend to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves exclusively on margin-of-victory thresholds. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals; otherwise NO. No moneyline or total-goals dimension. Key quote: 'If Winnipeg wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on three independent dimensions: (1) moneyline winner (Golden Knights vs. Jets), (2) combined goal totals at four different thresholds (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) spread (-1.5 for Golden Knights). No margin-of-victory-only markets. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Golden Knights if the Golden Knights win the game' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Golden Knights and Jets combine to score 7 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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