TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Gold Coast Suns and Melbourne Demons, scheduled for October 10 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gold Coast Suns" if Gold Coast Suns is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Gold Coast Suns and Melbourne Demons, scheduled for October 10 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gold Coast Suns" if Gold Coast Suns is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Gold Coast Suns versus Melbourne Demons AFL match. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Gold Coast Suns or the Melbourne Demons would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements about player availability, tactical changes, or any controversies surrounding the teams are all potential catalysts for price movement in this market. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.