TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether Goias or Nautico achieves a decisive victory margin over their opponent in the same match, focusing solely on regular time plus stoppage time without considering extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Goias or Nautico wins the professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. For Goias, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively. For Nautico, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. Each market specifies a different margin of victory required for resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently, prediction market odds diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This can occur due to differences in the information considered by each group – prediction markets benefit from the collective wisdom of a diverse crowd, while sportsbooks often rely on models and internal analysis. If sportsbooks initially favor one team, but a significant number of traders believe the other team has a higher chance of winning, this market may reflect that differing opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Goias vs Nautico match, specifically the final spread. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Goias vs Nautico match can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. A surprising result in a related match could also move this market.