TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. This scenario assesses the offensive performance of each team within the standard match duration.
If Goias and Nautico both score a goal in the Goias vs Nautico Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a different implied probability for the same outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Goias and Nautico will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in 'Yes' (both teams to score). Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, signaling increased belief in 'No'. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Goias and Nautico score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts related to this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Goias or Nautico would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Even public announcements about tactical changes or team lineups could cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.