TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Goias wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Goias wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 02h:46m:29s
$
The outcome depends on the goal differential between two soccer teams in a professional match, with specific thresholds determining success for each team.
Markets resolve to Yes if Goias wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if CR Brasil wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league or ownership of trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market may move in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before a large amount of volume enters the market, and as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Goias vs CR Brasil match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the market’s pricing. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market’s price will ultimately be determined by trading activity on Kalshi.