TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:24 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:45 AM ET.
More markets for the Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:45 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and motivations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Piast Gliwice vs. Widzew Lodz match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a unique view of event expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Piast Gliwice vs. Widzew Lodz match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or even rumors can have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could also cause noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information and potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.