TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:08 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 31 at 9:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 31 at 9:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction market probabilities align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can occur, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who can identify discrepancies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s depth – the volume of shares available at different price points – indicates the level of confidence and liquidity surrounding each possible result. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Giugliano vs. Casertana match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 100 shares per winning share, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will receive nothing. The final result will be determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 31, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, real-time performance during the match itself—such as early goals or red cards—will likely cause rapid price movements. Broader factors like weather conditions or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role, although typically to a lesser extent. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.