TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Spain's La Liga 2. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. It provides a straightforward way to assess the likely winner or a draw without considering post-regulation events.
The event resolves based on the result of the Girona vs Mallorca professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Girona wins, the 'Girona' market resolves to Yes; if Mallorca wins, the 'Mallorca' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply a different assessment of the probabilities involved. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the Girona vs Mallorca match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are not set by a bookmaker but rather emerge from the collective actions of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Girona vs Mallorca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing football league, accounting for any potential extra time or penalty shootouts as per the standard rules of the competition. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Girona or Mallorca would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or significant events affecting team morale could also cause fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.