TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer clubs face off in a competitive match where victory for either club within the standard playing duration decides the result. An even finish leads to a distinct resolution, and major scheduling shifts result in a fair price adjustment for all possible outcomes.
The market resolves based on the result of the Girona vs Andorra professional La Liga 2 soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Girona wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Andorra wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant analysis than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even public perception. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Girona vs Andorra match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Girona vs Andorra match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The specific details of the match result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Girona or Andorra would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories or public statements related to the teams or the match itself could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.