TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta and Quilmes AC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta vs. Quilmes AC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta and Quilmes AC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta vs. Quilmes AC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a margin for profit, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook offerings, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of specific outcomes. It’s important to note that sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, similar to how traders influence prices on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds represent the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta vs. Quilmes AC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, official score reported by a trusted source.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta or Quilmes AC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also affect traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or referee assignments, could also cause movement. Any significant information released before Nov 1, 2026 has the potential to alter the probabilities reflected in this market.