TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata and CA Sarmiento, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata and CA Sarmiento, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual money being wagered. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making regarding the Gimnasia vs. Sarmiento match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores, and the price of each share reflects the current probability of that outcome. As more shares are traded, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers agree. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is solely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated beliefs of those participating in this specific market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official result of the Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata versus CA Sarmiento match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will be used to determine the winning share(s) in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only the score at the 90-minute mark matters for settlement purposes.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before Oct 23, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gimnasia or Sarmiento would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management or any controversies surrounding the game could also lead to price movements in this market as traders react to the latest information.