TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming match between Gillingham FC and Grimsby Town FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gillingham FC" if Gillingham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grimsby Town FC" if Grimsby Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gillingham FC and Grimsby Town FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gillingham FC" if Gillingham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grimsby Town FC" if Grimsby Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team has a higher chance of scoring first than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team form and potential. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Gillingham or Grimsby will score first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, indicating a growing expectation that they will score first. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date assessment of the likely first scorer.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Gillingham FC vs. Grimsby Town FC match. Any goals scored during regular time, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The official match report will serve as the definitive record for determining the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the correctly predicted team.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gillingham or Grimsby would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially favoring one team's playing style, could have an impact. Any significant pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could also sway the market, as traders react to new information and insights.