TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$
In the upcoming match between Gil Vicente FC and Vitória SC, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vitória SC" if Vitória SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gil Vicente FC and Vitória SC, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vitória SC" if Vitória SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and include a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular team's chance of scoring first, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of volume comes in, as information asymmetry exists between individual traders and professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each team scoring first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations for the Gil Vicente vs. Vitória SC match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Gil Vicente vs. Vitória SC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winner, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines. The outcome will be publicly available and easily verifiable following the conclusion of the game, ensuring transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gil Vicente or Vitória SC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the perceived likelihood of a fast-paced, attacking game. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a strong offensive performance from one team could shift trader sentiment and affect the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements could also be a catalyst for price changes.