TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ghimp Fiodor and Butnaru Dumitru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 4 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ghimp Fiodor' if Ghimp Fiodor wins against Butnaru Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Butnaru Dumitru' if Butnaru Dumitru wins against Ghimp Fiodor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ghimp Fiodor and Butnaru Dumitru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 4 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ghimp Fiodor' if Ghimp Fiodor wins against Butnaru Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Butnaru Dumitru' if Butnaru Dumitru wins against Ghimp Fiodor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Ghimp vs. Butnaru fight. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ghimp vs. Butnaru fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to the final market price of their shares, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and impartial.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also trigger shifts in the prediction market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches could lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or fight-related forums, could also play a role in moving this market as traders react to new information and evolving perceptions.