TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ghana vs. Somalia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ghana vs. Somalia?

Total volume:
$137
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$2,066
3%
Open interest:
$137
0%

Ghana

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:20h:45m

Ghana wins

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ghana

Trade
80%
Yes 81¢No 30¢
11¢
N/A
$137
0%
N/A
$137
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Ghana

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 85¢No 30¢
15¢
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
80%
Yes 81¢No 30¢
Avg: 13¢Max: 15¢
kalshi

Somalia

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Somalia

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 95¢
5¢
$1,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Ghana vs. Somalia)

Trade
13%
Yes 17¢No 91¢
8¢
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Ghana and Somalia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Ghana will win, Somalia will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution relies on official match results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket asks if Ghana wins, while Kalshi asks if Ghana, Somalia, or a tie occurs.Hero tip: Kalshi markets offer broader coverage of possible outcomes. Polymarket markets are more focused and may offer higher liquidity on specific scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Ghana wins, and 'No' otherwise. Abandonment rules apply, resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled or abandoned without a result by November 14, 2026.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Ghana, Somalia, or a tie occurs. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the game is canceled or abandoned without a result by November 14, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Ghana and Somalia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Ghana wins the Ghana vs Somalia professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Somalia wins the Ghana vs Somalia professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Ghana vs Somalia professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Ghana vs. Somalia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $137, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both venues. The dashboard visualizes the implied probabilities and allows users to compare how opinions differ—or align—across these two prediction markets. This provides a unique perspective on the potential results of the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by participants who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and market-making algorithms, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity on each platform can create temporary price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Ghana win on 2026-11-12? at 77.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Ghana wins at 80.0%, demonstrating these differences in sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Ghana vs. Somalia match, as reported by official sources, will determine the outcome. This market is designed to reflect the real-world result of the match, providing a transparent and objective assessment of predictive accuracy. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand how this market will be settled.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Ghana or Somalia would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or broader football news could also indirectly affect traders’ sentiment and volume. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.