TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Getafe versus Vallecano professional La Liga soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives a 58.0% probability to a tie, while a Vallecano win is at 34.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result, as defined in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 19, 2026, as the final whistle will determine whether the market settles to a tie or another outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the Getafe vs Vallecano professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Getafe wins, the 'Getafe' market resolves to Yes. If Vallecano wins, the 'Vallecano' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular result. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities for the Getafe vs Vallecano match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Getafe vs Vallecano match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe Getafe will win, they will buy contracts for that outcome, driving up the price and indicating a higher perceived probability.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Getafe vs Vallecano match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, accounting for any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The market will settle to 100, representing the winning outcome, or 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive 100 per contract, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will receive 0.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Getafe or Vallecano would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the Getafe vs Vallecano match is key to informed trading.