TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Getafe CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Getafe CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring first. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Getafe is likely to score first, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Getafe or Rayo Vallecano—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Any disputes will be resolved based on the official match records available after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Getafe or Rayo Vallecano would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could move the market. Additionally, any public statements from team managers or players regarding their strategy or expected performance could influence trading activity.