TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:04 AM EST
Polymarket
Player to be in Germany's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.
Player to be in Germany's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different Germany starting lineups. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that specific lineup being the one that takes the field. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and potentially more informative than static odds found elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Germany starting lineup is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which eleven players are officially listed as starters by the team prior to the kickoff against Serbia. Any changes made after the official lineup is released will not affect the resolution of this market. The final lineup will be the determining factor, and shares will pay out based on whether the predicted lineup matches the actual starting eleven.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries, illness, or tactical decisions by the German coach would all be major catalysts. Any announcements about potential lineup changes from reliable sources, such as team press conferences or official social media channels, would likely cause rapid shifts in the odds. Even speculation from reputable football journalists can influence trader behavior. Additionally, late-breaking news about the fitness of key players or unexpected tactical formations could lead to substantial movement in this market before Oct 1, 2026.