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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

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MATCHED EVENTS:

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Polymarket:

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Germany vs. Serbia - Germany Starting 11
polymarket

Who starts for Germany vs Serbia?

Volume:
N/A

Marc-André ter Stegen

 - Polymarket

Marc-André ter Stegen - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Marc-André ter Stegen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Finn Dahmen

0%
99%
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N/A
N/A
N/A
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No
polymarket

Alexander Nübel

0%
99%
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Yann Aurel Bisseck

0%
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Jonathan Tah

0%
99%
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No
polymarket

Philipp Treu

100%
1%
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Yes
polymarket

Josha Vagnoman

0%
99%
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No
polymarket

Nico Schlotterbeck

0%
99%
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No
polymarket

Hennes Behrens

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99%
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No
polymarket

Max Rosenfelder

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No
polymarket

Yannik Engelhardt

0%
99%
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No
polymarket

Joshua Kimmich

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99%
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No
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Felix Nmecha

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No
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Kevin Schade

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No
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Jamal Musiala

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No
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Nadiem Amiri

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No
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Anton Stach

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No
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Chris Führich

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99%
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No
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Nathaniel Brown

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No
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Serge Gnabry

100%
1%
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Yes
polymarket

Lennart Karl

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99%
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No
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Kai Havertz

0%
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Settled
No
polymarket

Younes Ebnoutalib

0%
99%
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Bambasé Conté

0%
99%
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

Player to be in Germany's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.

Polymarket

Player to be in Germany's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on power ratings and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or attempts to balance action on both sides. This market, however, aggregates the insights of many individual traders, leading to odds that can be more accurate, especially as more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets allow for more nuanced predictions than simple win/loss scenarios offered by many sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different Germany starting lineups. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that specific lineup being the one that takes the field. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and potentially more informative than static odds found elsewhere.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Germany starting lineup is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which eleven players are officially listed as starters by the team prior to the kickoff against Serbia. Any changes made after the official lineup is released will not affect the resolution of this market. The final lineup will be the determining factor, and shares will pay out based on whether the predicted lineup matches the actual starting eleven.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries, illness, or tactical decisions by the German coach would all be major catalysts. Any announcements about potential lineup changes from reliable sources, such as team press conferences or official social media channels, would likely cause rapid shifts in the odds. Even speculation from reputable football journalists can influence trader behavior. Additionally, late-breaking news about the fitness of key players or unexpected tactical formations could lead to substantial movement in this market before Oct 1, 2026.