TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 1, 6:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the exact final score of the Germany vs. Serbia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any score not explicitly listed will resolve to 'Any Other Score'.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Germany vs. Serbia score market can occur due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, each platform may interpret available information – such as team news or historical performance – slightly differently. The differing fee structures and liquidity on each platform can also contribute to these variations. While both aim to predict the same outcome, the dynamics within each market can lead to temporary price divergences, creating opportunities for arbitrage traders.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports experts and public discussion surrounding the teams' strategies could influence the odds. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly affect this market. The current volume of $109,268 suggests traders are actively responding to information, so staying informed about these factors is crucial for anyone participating in this market.