TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Germany vs. Curaçao
Total volume:
$166,837
Volume 24h:
$4,125
15%
Liquidity:
$88,526
41%
Open interest:
$33,893
0.03%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Sunday, June 14, 2026 between Germany and Curaçao.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result handling diverges across platforms. Polymarket Draw resolves YES on cancellation; Limitless Draw resolves YES on no official result by July 14 deadline; Kalshi and Predict resolve NO for cancellation/postponement on all outcome markets.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled or not completed by July 14, 2026, Polymarket Draw and Limitless Draw markets will resolve YES, while all Germany/Curaçao win markets resolve NO. Traders should monitor geopolitical and weather risks and consider the different payout profiles across platforms for tail-risk scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Win markets (Germany/Curaçao) resolve NO if canceled. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes (for Draw only).
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match not completed with official result by July 14, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Win markets resolve NO if no official result by deadline. Key Quote: If the match is not completed with an official result by July 14, 2026, 17:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.
- Kalshi: All outcome markets (Germany, Curaçao, Tie) resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time result only. No explicit cancellation clause; implies markets remain open until match is completed.
- Predict: Win markets (Germany/Curaçao) resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No (for wins) or Yes (for draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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