TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Georgia wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Georgia wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:02h:47m
$
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Georgia and Ole Miss, allowing participants to bet on whether Georgia or Ole Miss will win by specific margins. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Georgia vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Georgia wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; if not, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Ole Miss wins by more than the point margin specified, the corresponding Ole Miss market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Georgia-Ole Miss game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Georgia versus Ole Miss game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia or Ole Miss teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Publicly released analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or social media, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.