Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 26, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if Georgia wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if Israel wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets (Georgia win, Draw, Israel win) will resolve YES.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Georgia-win and Israel-win markets resolve NO, and Draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 26, 2026, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Georgia-win and Israel-win markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Timing: Resolution is based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts do not apply.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official FIFA publication of final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.