TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:22h:50m
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This group resolves to the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer game between Georgia and Hungary, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Georgia will win, Hungary will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Georgia and Hungary, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Georgia vs Hungary UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a Georgia victory, a Hungary victory, or a draw. All markets share a common secondary rule governing tie scenarios and game disruptions—if the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve at a fair price. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, treating all referenced trademarks and branding as property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This market reflects what participants believe will happen, incentivized by potential financial gain from accurate forecasts. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when incorporating diverse and timely information not fully reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may have sharper pricing on heavily bet events.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Georgia vs. Hungary match. Trading volume and liquidity can also influence prices; a market with higher volume on one platform may exhibit greater price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on each platform can lead to temporary discrepancies. These differences are normal and contribute to a more robust overall prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Georgia vs. Hungary match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official results published by the governing body of the competition. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, allowing for a fair settlement of all trades placed on this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the Georgia vs. Hungary match might also affect perceptions of team strength. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either team could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential price movements in this market.