TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets track the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many yards each team gains through receptions. These metrics help evaluate offensive efficiency and strategy execution during the game.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by either Alabama or Georgia in the game scheduled for October 10, 2026, counting yards from both regulation and the first two overtime periods. Successful two-point conversions do not contribute to the yardage totals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts closer to game time. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing expectations. The price reflects the probability that the total receiving yards will fall within that specific range, as perceived by the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals from the Georgia-Alabama game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the governing body of college football will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle to 100 for the yardage range that encompasses the actual total receiving yards achieved during the game, and 0 for all other ranges. Traders holding contracts in the winning range will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission.
Several factors could influence the Georgia-Alabama receiving yards market. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both teams are significant catalysts. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also impact trading activity. Finally, any news regarding coaching strategies or potential changes to offensive schemes could cause the market to react as traders adjust their predictions before Oct 11, 2026.