TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to different thresholds of victory for either team, focusing solely on performance during that single quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Georgia vs Alabama college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the designated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to predict the same outcome, and often the prices will converge as the event approaches. Keep an eye on both to inform your predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating, constantly updating as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread at the end of the third quarter of the Georgia versus Alabama football game will determine the outcome. Contracts will pay out $1.00 for every dollar wagered on the correct spread, and $0.00 for incorrect predictions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia or Alabama teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or internal issues could shift trader expectations and move this market’s price.