TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential between Georgia and Alabama in the first quarter of their college football game. Outcomes depend on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of the first quarter, reflecting early-game momentum and performance.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Georgia vs Alabama college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the designated point spread in that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The contests are strictly for informational and entertainment purposes and carry no official affiliation with the NCAA or its entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is dynamic, meaning the odds will change as more traders participate and new information emerges, creating a real-time assessment of the likely first-quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Georgia versus Alabama football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see which contracts were successful and receive their payouts following the completion of the first quarter and official confirmation of the score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia or Alabama teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the perceived advantage of either team. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public betting trends from sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market as traders react to new information.