TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether a team's performance will exceed that threshold in the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based on the official scoring of Alabama and Georgia in the first half of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold in the first half, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets will resolve based on the final official score of the game as played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, determined by the platform, rather than a binary outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Georgia-Alabama first half total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders can take either the ‘buy’ (yes) or ‘sell’ (no) side, effectively making a prediction and profiting if their view proves correct. The market’s depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – indicates the level of confidence in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Georgia versus Alabama football game will determine whether the total points scored meet the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome of the first half.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Georgia or Alabama would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact the collective predictions of traders on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments in this market.