TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:46 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins by specifically in the final quarter of a college football game, ignoring any points from earlier periods. Each market has a different threshold for the winning margin needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold within that quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent and evaluated separately against their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individuals trading contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between Kalshi and external sources. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe Virginia Tech will win by more than the spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market’s aggregate expectation of the final point differential, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Virginia Tech versus Georgia Tech game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Virginia Tech or Georgia Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead to shifts in expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly.