TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—count towards the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for the respective team’s market. Should neither team score a touchdown throughout the entire game, including overtime, the “No team scores a TD” market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, it proceeds normally; otherwise, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the influence of public bias in sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and easily accessible to a wider audience, influencing perceptions of likely outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking an early lead. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the Georgia Tech versus Pittsburgh football game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official confirmation of the first scoring play.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Georgia Tech or Pittsburgh would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the perceived likelihood of each team scoring early. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and media coverage could sway public opinion and trading activity. Finally, any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff, such as coaching changes or significant team news, could all contribute to movement in this market.