TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might lead at that specific point in the game.
These markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively during the third quarter of the Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders buying and selling contracts based on their individual beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Pittsburgh will win by more than the spread, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase. Conversely, if more traders favor Georgia Tech, those contract prices will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point difference between Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh at the end of the third quarter. The platform will then verify the outcome against these official sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Georgia Tech or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, unexpected weather conditions during the game or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all contribute to movement in this market. As the game approaches, real-time updates and in-game performance will be key catalysts.