TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh. Outcomes are determined solely by the score at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first half of the Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's point differential exceeds the stated margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds listed across the various markets.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could signal that the crowd perceives information differently than oddsmakers. However, as game day approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and betting activity increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the first half of the Georgia Tech-Pittsburgh game. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, predicting the spread will be greater than the listed value, or 'no' contracts, predicting it will be less. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. The closer the game gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived probability of each spread occurring.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia Tech or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.