TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of James Madison and Georgia State in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team will exceed its point total, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further from the initial sportsbook line. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, whether Georgia St. and James Madison each score over or under their respective team totals. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, reflecting the collective forecast for the game’s scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Georgia St. and James Madison will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then determine which contracts correspond to the correct outcomes – those teams whose actual scores exceeded or fell short of the specified totals. The resolution will be based on the official, final statistics reported after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Georgia St. or James Madison would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could influence expectations regarding team performance and, consequently, the prices within this market.