TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high or low scoring in the first half.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Georgia St. vs James Madison college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, up to 47.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points from the first half count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to different odds. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or changing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the final result, with increased volume as more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first half of the Georgia St. vs James Madison game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the source for verifying the result. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can sometimes influence trading activity and therefore the price of this market.