TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcomes between Georgia State and Arkansas State in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different margin of victory threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Georgia State vs Arkansas State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For Georgia State markets, resolution occurs if Georgia State wins by exceeding the specified point margin. For Arkansas State markets, resolution occurs if Arkansas State wins by exceeding the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, as they are constantly updated by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider, and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract's value at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the direction of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia St. or Arkansas St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role in influencing trader behavior and adjusting the spread.