TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the first half outcome of the Georgia State and Arkansas State college football matchup. The result is determined solely by which team leads at the end of the first half.
The market resolves based on the first half winner of the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Arkansas St. wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes for Arkansas St. If Georgia St. wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes for Georgia St. If neither team wins the first half (i.e., a tie), the market resolves to Yes for Tie. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to balance betting action or incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows individuals to express their own probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a team’s chances of winning the first half.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, meaning if more people believe Georgia St. will win the first half, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. game will determine the settlement of this market. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profit or loss shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Georgia St. or Arkansas St. could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, might also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could affect how traders assess the likelihood of each team winning the first half, leading to price fluctuations in this market.