TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Georgia State and Arkansas State. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes reflect whether the teams exceed these set points in the first half.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by both Georgia State and Arkansas State in the first half of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each threshold specifies a numerical value that, if exceeded by the combined score of both teams in the first half, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that particular market. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first half of play. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official final result of the first half. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being evaluated.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. 1st half total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a collective forecast. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair probability of the total being above or below the implied line, and this price fluctuates based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the first half of the Georgia St. vs Arkansas St. game will be used to determine whether the market settles above or below the specified line. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia St. or Arkansas St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or starting lineups could shift trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks may also indirectly influence trading activity in this market, leading to price adjustments.