TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Georgia Southern will win their college football game against Old Dominion by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Georgia Southern winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, as reported by the final score of the game. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the result of the Oct 15, 2026 fixture.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion college football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Georgia Southern wins, markets resolving to 'Yes' require the victory margin to exceed the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points). Conversely, if Old Dominion wins, markets resolving to 'Yes' require their margin to exceed the specified threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 17.5 points). For any game postponement, if play commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve per the updated result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of the outcome, though discrepancies can occur. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it's important to remember that both represent different methods of forecasting the game's result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the outcome will favor that side of the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses, driving the price towards a fair value.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion football game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning side of the market. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either Georgia Southern or Old Dominion would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching announcements or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting percentages, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Any late-breaking information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market.