TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the likelihood of different score margins. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of victory for either team, reflecting diverse expectations about the game's competitiveness.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Georgetown vs William & Mary college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If William & Mary wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Conversely, if Georgetown wins by more than the designated margin, the relevant 'Yes' outcome is satisfied. For markets where neither team meets their respective threshold, the outcome resolves to 'No'. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can create price pressure on Kalshi, causing the odds to diverge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result of the game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price aggregates their collective beliefs. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Georgetown vs William & Mary game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of their purchase. The resolution will be based on the official result and reported by trusted sports news sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgetown or William & Mary teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in prior games could also shift trader sentiment. Public perception, fueled by sports analysts or media coverage, can also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news regarding weather conditions or other external factors impacting the game could cause the market to react as traders adjust their predictions.