TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out. The collective markets provide a detailed spectrum of possible outcomes based on the game's final score.
All markets resolve based on whether Colgate or Georgetown achieves a winning margin that exceeds the specified point differential in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market where Colgate must win by a certain number of points, if Colgate’s victory margin surpasses that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets requiring Georgetown to win by a specific margin, if Georgetown’s victory exceeds the stated points, the market resolves to Yes, else No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their odds, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the game’s outcome. Frequently, as game day approaches, the prices in this market converge with those offered by sportsbooks, as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. However, discrepancies can still arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Georgetown vs Colgate game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process creates a market-determined price that aggregates the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Georgetown vs Colgate game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgetown or Colgate teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during recent games, or adjustments to coaching strategies, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks, might also impact the price. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to move this market.