TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The same teams will face off in the first map of their Valorant match on October 23, 2026. The result hinges on which squad claims the win on this initial map during the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026.
If Gentle Mates GC wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: Gentle Mates GC vs. Team Liquid Brazil Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Liquid Brazil wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: Gentle Mates GC vs. Team Liquid Brazil Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when considering the incentives for participants to be well-informed. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market can sometimes align, especially for widely-followed events where a lot of public information is available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts will increase, and the implied probability of that team winning will also rise. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team on the first map of the Gentle Mates GC versus Team Liquid Brazil match will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers and verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is announced.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, in-game performance during the early stages of the match, even before the first map concludes, might influence trading activity. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market.