TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Genoa and Venezia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Genoa vs Venezia Serie A match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold is evaluated separately against the same match result. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction, potentially offering better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Genoa vs Venezia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market efficiently aggregates diverse perspectives into a single, transparent price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Genoa vs Venezia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Genoa or Venezia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause price movements. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of different total goal outcomes has the potential to move this market.