TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Genoa wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Genoa wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:11h:24m
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This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Genoa and Milan, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how bettors anticipate the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics between the two teams within the standard match duration.
The event consists of four separate markets, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either Genoa or Milan in their Serie A match scheduled for November 8, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated condition — Genoa winning by more than 2.5 goals, Genoa winning by more than 1.5 goals, Milan winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Milan winning by more than 2.5 goals — is met. Each market operates independently, meaning resolution for one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the market finds value relative to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Genoa vs Milan match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price represents the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Genoa vs Milan match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. Any adjustments or official rulings made after the initial result will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Milan would likely cause price adjustments. Significant changes in team form, tactical shifts announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.