TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$303,231,665
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,973,333,451
417,433
Markets across
39,786
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Genoa and Juventus. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Genoa vs Juventus Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any given market, if the total goals meet or exceed its threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria tied to the specified goal count. The governing body for the match is the Serie A league, but Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with it. Trademarks and brand names referenced belong solely to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Genoa vs Juventus match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and adjust expectations in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the likely goal total.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Genoa vs Juventus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The total goals scored, including any own goals, will determine which outcome settles as ‘yes’ and which settles as ‘no’. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goal range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Genoa vs Juventus goals market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects scoring potential. Tactical changes announced by the managers, such as a shift in formation or a focus on defensive play, could also move the market. Even weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might influence expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.